Worst recession looms as global economy may shrink by 5.2%

Due to the swift and massive shock of the coronavirus pandemic, which has significantly plunged the global economy into a severe contraction, World Bank has said that the global economy will shrink by 5.2 per cent this year.

World Bank in its latest forecasts said that the projected global economic decline would represent the deepest recession since the Second World War, with the largest fraction of economies experiencing declines in per capita output since 1870.

According to the global bank’s June 2020 Global Economic Prospects, economic activity among advanced economies are anticipated to shrink 7 per cent in 2020 as domestic demand and supply, trade, and finance have been severely disrupted.

“Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is expected to shrink by 2.5 per cent this year, their first contraction as a group in at least sixty years. Per capita incomes are expected to decline by 3.6 per cent, which will tip millions of people into extreme poverty this year.

“The blow is hitting hardest in countries where the pandemic has been the most severe and where there is a heavy reliance on global trade, tourism, commodity exports, and external financing. While the magnitude of disruption will vary from region to region, all EMDEs have vulnerabilities that are magnified by external shocks.

“Moreover, interruptions in schooling and primary healthcare access are likely to have lasting impacts on human capital development”, the global bank stated.